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Quant LetterNo. 72

October 2024, Week 5

115 items across 9 sections, as sent to readers on 31 October 2024. Paper titles open their ML-Quant page; ↗ goes to the source.

arXiv

Quantitative-finance and ML-for-finance preprints from arXiv.

8 items

Historical Trending8

01

Statistical Arbitrage

Research indicates that ranking stocks by capitalization rather than company names improves statistical arbitrage performance, particularly when used with neural networks.

13 shares1 citation todaySource ↗

02

GANs in Financial Time Series

The study explores the capability of Generative Adversarial Networks (GANs) in learning complex financial time series patterns, with performance heavily reliant on the chosen generator architecture.

7 shares7 citations todaySource ↗

03

Concentrated Market Maker

A new automated market maker model is introduced, enabling the exchange of negatively and positively priced assets, potentially useful in electricity, energy, and derivatives markets.

5 shares1 citation todaySource ↗

04

Sparse Order Book Simulation

A new model is presented for simulating and analyzing sparse limit order books in illiquid markets, such as the European intraday electricity market, providing insights into these markets' unique microstructural behaviors.

5 shares2 citations todaySource ↗

05

Deep RL for Volatility Fitting

The article discusses how Deep Reinforcement Learning can effectively solve volatility fitting problems in equity derivatives, outperforming standard algorithms in handling complex functions and online learning.

5 shares4 citations todaySource ↗

06

TimeSeries Model for VaR Estimation

The research highlights the superior performance of a time-series model, TimesFM, in forecasting Value-at-Risk, with fine-tuning further enhancing the results.

5 shares8 citations todaySource ↗

08

Efficient Transaction Execution on Blockchains

The study presents a model for transaction execution in blockchains, considering capacity constraints and user costs, and reveals that optimal pricing depends on various factors, impacting future blockchain architectures.

4 sharesSource ↗

RePEc

Economics working papers from RePEc's NEP field reports.

25 items

Finance6

01

Metaalgorithm for Portfolio Selection

The article discusses the application of Online Gradient Update and Online Newton Update meta-algorithms in online portfolio selection, which help in accurate price prediction and risk reduction.

19 sharesSource ↗

02

Sustainable Portfolio Optimization

The research introduces a portfolio optimization method that takes into account environmental, social responsibility, and corporate governance factors, eliminating the need for large-scale covariance matrix estimation.

18 sharesSource ↗

03

Evolution of Chinese Futures

The paper investigates the effects of high-frequency and algorithmic trading in China, showing improvements in contract continuity, liquidity diversification, and the rise of advanced algorithmic traders who boost liquidity and cut slippage costs.

17 sharesSource ↗

04

Linear Factor Models in U.K. Stocks

A study found that the most effective model for predicting UK stock returns was the eight-factor model by Chib and Zeng, but all multifactor models were largely dismissed due to dynamic trading and conditioning information use.

12 sharesSource ↗

05

FourFactor Model with Factor Momentum

A new four-factor model, incorporating a mispricing factor and a momentum factor, has been found to outperform traditional models in predicting China's stock market, with a significant momentum premium identified.

11 sharesSource ↗

06

IFCISA: Financial Conditions Index for South America

Financial Conditions Index for South America: An International Financial Conditions Index for South American economies (IFCI-SA) has been proposed to track financial conditions and assess the impact of global events, incorporating standard variables, sovereign debt risk premia, and regional commodity prices.

10 sharesSource ↗

Statistical7

04

AI and Big Data Tokens

Research shows that AI and big data token investors tend to follow the crowd, especially during crises, affecting market stability and investor safety.

17 sharesSource ↗

05

ERM Impact on Borsa Istanbul XBANK Companies

A study on Turkish banking firms reveals that adopting enterprise risk management improves company performance, value, and risk control, suggesting the use of the partial least squares regression model for predictions.

12 sharesSource ↗

06

Graduate Employability Model in Croatia

Research in Croatia indicates that cultural, human, and bridging social capital, along with volunteering and internships, enhance the chances of graduates securing suitable jobs quickly.

11 sharesSource ↗

07

Forecasting Green Bond Cost Optimization

A multi-stage stochastic model using the Filtered Historical Simulation method can effectively predict green bond issuance, aiding issuers in market timing, liquidity management, and cost reduction.

10 sharesSource ↗

Machine Learning7

01

Bottom-up CPI Forecasting

Machine learning techniques like gradient boosting and regularised regression can offer more precise inflation predictions than conventional econometric models, especially when using a component-aggregated approach.

27 sharesSource ↗

02

Hyperparameters in Machine Learning

A review of machine learning papers in political science journals revealed that only 20.31% disclosed their hyperparameter settings and tuning methods, indicating a need for greater transparency and robustness in machine learning models.

21 sharesSource ↗

03

Collusion Detection in Public Procurement

A novel algorithm using machine learning to identify collusion in public procurement auctions has shown superior results on data from Italy, Japan, and the USA, and uncovered high collusion probabilities in Turkish and European contracts.

18 sharesSource ↗

04

Naïve Bayes for Spam Detection

The Naive Bayes Classifier algorithm is applied to categorize emails as spam or not using Kaggle's spam mails dataset, with outcomes affected by two Laplace values.

16 sharesSource ↗

05

AI for Innovation Analysis

The study offers a detailed analysis of AI, machine learning, and big data's role in fostering innovation, identifying key research themes and trends from 1991 to 2021.

13 sharesSource ↗

06

Improved NHL Draft Predictions

Large Language Models are utilized to extract data from scouting reports to enhance NHL draft predictions, with the best outcomes achieved by merging this with on-ice performance stats.

11 sharesSource ↗

07

DEA and Regression Tree for Price Estimation

The study uses Data Envelopment Analysis to estimate product prices from a supplier's viewpoint, proposing a two-stage estimator for unobservable negotiation behavior, proven effective in an automotive supplier industry application.

9 sharesSource ↗

Historical Trending5

01

Narrative Asset Pricing

A pricing model using news text from The Wall Street Journal predicts future investment opportunities better than standard models.

6 sharesSource ↗

05

Collusion Regulation

The regulation of collusion, including detection, prosecution, and bargaining, is studied from a systemic perspective, focusing on the legal system's peculiarities.

1 sharesSource ↗

Machine learning

The general machine-learning papers the letter carried in 2023-25.

20 items

Recently Published10

01

Active Data Collection

The study shows that active data collection methods are more effective than passive ones in operator learning, especially when dealing with linear operators and input functions from a mean-zero stochastic process.

11 shares8 citations todaySource ↗

02

Fair Clustering

The research introduces a new algorithm, GreedyCohesiveClustering, that expands fair clustering to non-centroid clustering, and an auditing algorithm to measure fairness approximation.

10 shares18 citations todaySource ↗

03

Synthetic Context Extension

The paper finds that fine-tuning long-context language models with synthetic data improves performance in retrieval and reasoning tasks, with attention heads predicting performance.

9 shares13 citations todaySource ↗

04

Multi-modal AI for Breast Cancer

A new AI test for breast cancer patient stratification, combining digital pathology and clinical characteristics, has been developed, showing higher accuracy than the current standard and applicability across all major breast cancer subtypes.

9 shares13 citations todaySource ↗

05

Lowrank Approximations

The paper introduces an extension of the batch-and-match framework for black-box variational inference to high-dimensional problems, using compact parameterization of full covariance matrices to enhance efficiency and performance.

8 shares9 citations todaySource ↗

06

LiDAR-Camera-HDmap Fusion

The article suggests a perception module for self-driving cars using LiDAR, camera, and HD map data fusion for accurate drivable space detection in all weather conditions.

7 shares3 citations todaySource ↗

07

FISHNET: Financial Intelligence

Financial Intelligence: The paper introduces FISHNET, a new system for generating financial intelligence from large data sources, offering scalability, flexibility, and data integrity.

7 shares7 citations todaySource ↗

09

Arabic Music Classification

The study suggests a machine learning method using a convolutional neural network for classifying and creating new and traditional Egyptian music by composer, with 81.4% accuracy.

7 shares1 citation todaySource ↗

10

Modular Duality in DL

The article presents a new theory of modular dualization for general neural networks, providing a theoretical basis for fast and scalable training algorithms, potentially leading to a new generation of optimizers for neural architectures.

6 shares75 citations todaySource ↗

Historical Trending10

01

Experiments in Reinforcement Learning

The article highlights the importance of proper statistical evidence and avoiding common errors in empirical design for effective reinforcement learning experiments.

299 shares77 citations todaySource ↗

02

Scaling Law for Language Models

The study identifies a scaling law in neural language models' loss curves, aiding in predicting loss and refining training strategies.

161 shares31 citations todaySource ↗

03

Unbounded: A Generative Game

A Generative Game: The paper presents Unbounded, a generative infinite game using a large language model and a dynamic image prompt Adapter for real-time game creation.

74 shares20 citations todaySource ↗

04

Long Timescales in Memory Tasks

The research shows that recurrent neural networks improve performance and generalization by adapting timescales for memory-dependent tasks.

63 shares13 citations todaySource ↗

05

Pitfalls in Deep Learning Benchmarks

The article presents TabReD, a collection of industry-grade tabular datasets, showing that simple MLP-like architectures and GBDT perform best in real-world conditions.

49 shares36 citations todaySource ↗

06

Adam with Model EMA

The article analyzes the optimal convergence rates of two optimization techniques, Adam and model exponential moving average (EMA), in different nonconvex optimization settings.

36 shares36 citations todaySource ↗

07

Endoscapes Dataset

The report discusses Endoscapes, a dataset of annotated laparoscopic cholecystectomy videos, designed for automated assessment of the Critical View of Safety.

34 shares48 citations todaySource ↗

08

Sketch-to-Image Generation

The paper presents a sketch-to-image tool that can generate high-quality images from sketches, showcasing its effectiveness through various examples and comparisons.

31 shares30 citations todaySource ↗

09

PixelGaussian Reconstruction

The authors introduce PixelGaussian, a framework that learns 3D Gaussian reconstruction from any view, adjusting the Gaussian distribution and quantity based on geometric complexity.

26 shares22 citations todaySource ↗

10

DisCGS Gaussian Splatting

The paper presents a new framework that allows Gaussian Splatting to accurately render discontinuities and boundaries in images, addressing its previous limitations.

26 shares15 citations todaySource ↗

Papers with code

Papers that shipped their code, from the Papers with Code feed (2023-25).

10 items

Trending5

01

MaskGCT TTS

The article categorizes recent text-to-speech systems into autoregressive and nonautoregressive types.

5,679 shares

02

Moonshine SR

The paper presents Moonshine, a set of models for live transcription and voice command processing.

1,668 shares

03

DocETL Query Rewriting

The article introduces a new method for rewriting, evaluating, and optimizing Large Language Models (LLMs).

1,169 shares

04

ToolAlpaca Tool Learning

The article contrasts the use of large language models like GPT-4 with supervised learning for tool training.

1,095 shares

05

ServerlessLLM Inference

The paper unveils ServerlessLLM, a system for low-latency serverless inference for Large Language Models (LLMs).

311 shares

Rising5

01

KAG Boosting LLMs

RAG technology has been developed to efficiently build domain-specific applications.

303 shares

02

Memory Barrier Contrastive Loss

Larger batch sizes enhance contrastive loss, improving the differentiation between similar and dissimilar data in representation learning.

128 shares

03

OGBench Offline GCRL

The absence of a standard benchmark hinders the evaluation of offline GCRL algorithms' performance.

56 shares

04

PixelGaussian 3D Reconstruction

PixelGaussian is a new efficient framework designed for learning 3D Gaussian reconstruction from any perspective.

53 shares

05

PF3plat PoseFree 3D Splatting

The introduction of lightweight learnable modules refines depth and pose estimates, enhancing 3D reconstruction and novel view synthesis.

37 shares

GitHub

Repositories the letter featured.

10 items

Finance5

01

Python Trend Detection

A new Python package has been launched to identify trends in stock market data.

458 shares

02

RL Resources

A regularly updated list of resources for reinforcement learning with human feedback has been compiled.

3,397 shares

04

Equity Trading Workflow

A workflow has been developed for factor-based equity trading using established factor models.

336 shares

Trending5

01

Interview Tips

The article offers detailed guidance on job hunting strategies.

63,566 shares

02

期货实盘ctp交易框架

The article presents a user-friendly live trading framework for CTP and CTP mini futures.

764 shares

03

Probabilistic Programming

The article delves into probabilistic programming using NumPy and JAX for various hardware compilations.

2,178 shares

04

Excel Integration with xlwings

The article highlights xlwings, a Python library that enables Python-Excel interactions across different platforms.

2,979 shares

05

Fast ASR

The article showcases a high-speed, precise automatic speech recognition system for edge devices.

1,299 shares

News

Industry news: funds, hiring, markets and regulation.

20 items

Quantitative10

01

Code Willing's Hedge Fund Solution

Code Willing has launched CWIQ, a platform designed to streamline data analysis for quant hedge funds, improving data science and alpha generation.

12 shares

02

Former Centiva Europe Credit Head's Fund

Terrence Matthews, ex-head of European credit at Centiva Capital, is setting up his own venture, Athlone Investment Management, according to Bloomberg.

7 shares

03

Investors Bullish on Dollar Bets

Bloomberg reports that hedge funds and asset managers are now in bullish dollar positions, with around $9.2bn in long dollar bets as of 22 October.

5 shares

04

Jain Global Hires JPMorgan Trader

Jain Global, a multistrategy hedge fund firm, has recruited Vik Shah, a former credit trader at JPMorgan Chase, as a portfolio manager, says Bloomberg.

4 shares

05

Hedge Funds Oppose Midstream Buyout

Despite opposition from Nut Tree Capital Management and Caspian Capital, Martin Midstream Partners is moving forward with its planned acquisition by Martin Resource Management Corp (MRMC).

4 shares

09

Systematic credit development accelerated

A HedgeWeek report with MSCI explores how current equity and fixed income tools can be utilized to swiftly meet client demand for systematic strategies.

3 shares

Miscellaneous10

02

Jefferies Seeks Compensation for Fraud

Jefferies Financial Group's hedge fund, 352 Capital, is attempting to recover millions from ex-portfolio manager Jordan Chirico, alleging his participation in a $100m fraud scheme.

3 shares

03

Haruko Integrates with Zodia Custody

Haruko, a digital asset technology solutions provider, is partnering with Zodia Custody to improve transparency and efficiency for institutional digital asset investors.

3 shares

04

Liquidnet Appoints Latin America Head

Liquidnet, a technology-driven agency execution specialist, has named Eric Blake as Head of Latin America, responsible for finding new liquidity sources for asset managers.

2 shares

05

New Hedge Fund Centres Rise

A Hedgeweek report indicates a geographical shift in the hedge fund industry, with talent moving to emerging financial centres like Abu Dhabi, Dubai, and the Nordics.

2 shares

06

Winning streak for hedge funds

Hedge funds marked their eighth straight quarter of gains in Q3 2024, with an average return of 3.22, up 1.09 from Q2, as per Citco's report.

2 shares

07

Weiss in settlement talks

Bankrupt Weiss MultiStrategy Advisers LLC and its primary creditor Jefferies Financial Group are reportedly negotiating to resolve their ongoing lawsuit after the Weiss hedge fund's collapse.

2 shares

Podcasts

Episodes on markets, quant methods and economics.

10 items

Quantitative5

01

Keith Dicker on Canadian Equities

Keith Dicker talks about the challenges of modern investing, the effects of Canada's population growth on its economy, and potential market changes after the US elections.

12 shares

02

Atlas of Finance

Dr. Dariusz Wójcik's book uses visuals to explain the history and intricacies of global finance, emphasizing the role of geography and key individuals.

11 shares

03

Floor Rules in Financial Markets

Mark W. Geiger's book delves into the formal and informal rules that control financial markets, using historical instances to demonstrate their significance.

8 shares

04

US Election Impact on Rates Markets

Srini Ramaswamy and Ipek Ozil discuss the potential effects of the forthcoming election on Rates markets, the Fed's balance sheet policy, and monetary policy expectations in a 2025 podcast.

8 shares

05

Derivative Media and Wall Street

Andrew deWaard's book claims that the financial sector is negatively affecting the creativity of cultural industries and altering the nature of our media environment.

8 shares

Related5

01

Unlocking Tax Efficiency

Wes Gray talks about the Cambria Tax Aware ETF (TAX) and the tax-efficient 351 to ETF contribution process, which can help investors save on taxes.

7 shares

02

Retirement Portfolio Strategies

Christine Benz provides advice on retirement strategies, including the bucket approach and modifications to the 4% withdrawal rule.

6 shares

03

Gauging EUR Growth

Greg Fuzesi and Meera Chandan analyze the potential impact of US elections on the euro and possible responses from the Euro area.

5 shares

04

Decorrelating Variables

Piterbarg and Nowaczyk introduce a new data manipulation technique that improves backtesting on correlated data.

5 shares

05

Quantum Mental Investing

Keith Fitzgerald discusses his quantum-mental strategy for retail investing, emphasizing on transformative trends like digitalization and AI.

4 shares

X / Twitter

Posts from quant researchers on X.

6 items

Quantitative3

01

Volatility Estimators

The blog post examines how various volatility estimators affect risk-adjusted returns for specific assets and strategies.

6 shares

02

Tuesday Recap

The recent recap discusses topics like low-risk investing, equity predictability, trading strategies, and portfolio selection.

3 shares

03

Idiosyncratic Risk Factors

The article proposes that unique risk factors, such as variance and left tail risks, are more crucial in predicting equity returns than common ones.

2 shares

Miscellaneous3

03

PCA Python Tutorial

The article explores the use of Principal Component Analysis (PCA) with Python programming.

0 shares

Reddit

Threads from r/quant, r/algotrading and friends.

6 items

Quantitative1

Rising5

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