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Quant LetterNo. 116

October 2025, Week 4

10 items across 1 sections, as sent to readers on 24 October 2025. Paper titles open their ML-Quant page; ↗ goes to the source.

RePEc

Economics working papers from RePEc's NEP field reports.

10 items

Historical Trending10

01

Reinforcement Learning for Hedging

The article introduces a novel application of reinforcement learning for efficiently managing a portfolio of over-the-counter derivatives, independent of any model.

91 sharesSource ↗

02

HighFrequency Trading Impact

The paper discusses the effects of high-frequency trading on market factors like volatility, transaction costs, and liquidity, indicating varied opinions in the financial sector.

90 sharesSource ↗

04

Nowcasting NZ GDP with ML

The paper reveals that machine learning algorithms are more effective than traditional statistical models in predicting real GDP growth in New Zealand.

175 sharesSource ↗

05

Predicting Vehicle Wait Times at Borders

The study explores new data sources and machine learning techniques to forecast short-term wait times at a US-Mexico border crossing, emphasizing the difficulties of high data variability.

25 sharesSource ↗

06

Risk Factor Validation

The research disputes the Fama and French three factor model, stating that size and value mimicking factors should not be seen as systematic risk factors.

30 sharesSource ↗

07

Cost Estimation with ML

The article introduces a machine learning method for predicting software costs early in a project with high accuracy.

42 sharesSource ↗

08

Intraday Volatility Prediction

The paper reveals that range-based volatility forecasting and asymmetric GARCH models are most effective for the Indian stock market, particularly the GKYZ volatility estimator.

18 sharesSource ↗

09

Bank Failure Prediction

The study uses machine learning survival models to predict US bank failures, offering insights to enhance risk management in the banking sector.

17 sharesSource ↗

10

Brazilian ML Portfolios

The research investigates the use of machine learning to predict stock returns in Brazil, showing that an Equal Risk Contribution approach greatly enhances risk-adjusted returns.

16 sharesSource ↗

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