---
title: ML for Trade Direction in Corporate Bonds
url: https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/kap-rqfnac-v-63-y-2024-i-1-d-10-1007-s11156-024-01252-w/
site: ML-Quant (https://www.ml-quant.com)
updated: 2026-09-26
license: Summaries CC BY 4.0; links go to the original sources
index: https://www.ml-quant.com/llms.txt
identifier: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:63:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s11156-024-01252-w
source_url: https://econpapers.repec.org/scripts/redir.pf?u=http%3A%2F%2Flink.springer.com%2F10.1007%2Fs11156-024-01252-w%3Bh%3Drepec%3Akap%3Arqfnac%3Av%3A63%3Ay%3A2024%3Ai%3A1%3Ad%3A10.1007_s11156-024-01252-w
featured: 2024-05-28
citations: unknown
topic: Macro-Finance & Rates
---


# ML for Trade Direction in Corporate Bonds

Machine learning can enhance trade direction classification in corporate bond markets, with trade timing and information environment impacting the accuracy of existing rules.

- Source: https://econpapers.repec.org/scripts/redir.pf?u=http%3A%2F%2Flink.springer.com%2F10.1007%2Fs11156-024-01252-w%3Bh%3Drepec%3Akap%3Arqfnac%3Av%3A63%3Ay%3A2024%3Ai%3A1%3Ad%3A10.1007_s11156-024-01252-w
- Identifier: RePEc:kap:rqfnac:v:63:y:2024:i:1:d:10.1007_s11156-024-01252-w
- Released: 2024-05-28
- First featured: Quant Letter No. 51 (2024-05-28): https://www.ml-quant.com/issues/2024-05-28/
- Citations (Semantic Scholar): not tracked
- Published in: not yet
- Topic: Macro-Finance & Rates

## Related

- [Corporate Bond Factors: Replication Failures and a New Framework](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4586652/): The study criticizes inconsistent methodologies in corporate bond factors literature, suggesting a robust factor construction and a clean database for corporate bond returns.
- [Supervised Similarity for High-Yield Corporate Bonds with Quantum Cognition Machine Learning](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/arxiv/2502.01495/): The research applies quantum cognition machine learning to distance metric learning in corporate bond markets, outperforming traditional models in high-yield markets and performing similarly or better in investment grade markets.
- [Deep Learning for Corporate Bonds](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4527372/): A U.S. corporate bonds market asset pricing model shows that maximizing the Sharpe ratio performs better for individual bonds, with significant excess returns shown in out-of-sample annual SDF portfolio Sharpe ratios.
- [Corporate Bond IPO Underpricing](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4825082/): Bond IPO underpricing is common and rises during times of market uncertainty, suggesting underwriters struggle to estimate asset value in volatile periods.
- [Predicting Individual Corporate Bond Returns](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4753422/): Machine learning, particularly Random Forest, shows strong evidence of return predictability and investment gains for individual corporate bonds, especially in private bonds.
- [Corporate Bond Valuation Factors](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4751242/): Corporate bond credit spreads are affected by default risk and convenience services, with the European Central Bank's corporate quantitative easing programs significantly impacting corporate bonds' convenience yields.
