---
title: Optimal Entry and Exit Trading Points using Functional Data Analysis
url: https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4658652/
site: ML-Quant (https://www.ml-quant.com)
updated: 2026-09-26
license: Summaries CC BY 4.0; links go to the original sources
index: https://www.ml-quant.com/llms.txt
identifier: SSRN 4658652
source_url: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4658652
featured: 2023-12-13
citations: 0
topic: Trading, Microstructure & Execution
---


# Optimal Entry and Exit Trading Points using Functional Data Analysis

The study develops investment strategies using optimal trading points predicted by forecasting financial time series with intraday data on weekly data curves, showing superior performance in backtesting on three major US ETFs.

- Source: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4658652
- Identifier: SSRN 4658652
- Released: 2023-12-08
- First featured: Quant Letter No. 29 (2023-12-13): https://www.ml-quant.com/issues/2023-12-13/
- Citations (Semantic Scholar): 0
- Published in: not yet
- Topic: Trading, Microstructure & Execution

## Related

- [Backtest overfitting in the machine learning era: A comparison of out-of-sample testing methods in a synthetic controlled environment](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4686376/): The Combinatorial Purged Cross-Validation (CPCV) method is superior in financial analytics for reducing overfitting risks, outperforming traditional methods like K-Fold and Walk-Forward.
- [LIGHT Benchmark - Comprehensive Backtesting Framework for Market Risk Models Comparison](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4586897/): Market Risk Backtesting: The article presents LIGHT Benchmark, a tool for comparing market risk models, including a scoring system for evaluating Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall models.
- [Ponzi Funds](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/arxiv/2405.12768/): The study suggests that investors' pursuit of high returns from active funds can predict ETF bubbles and crashes, and that a fund's liquidity can indicate its potential for inflated returns.
- [E-backtesting](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/arxiv/2209.00991/): A new backtesting procedure for Expected Shortfall forecasts is proposed using e-values and e-processes.
- [Optimizing Portfolio Performance through Clustering and Sharpe Ratio-Based Optimization: A Comparative Backtesting Approach](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/arxiv/2501.12074/): The article presents a new method for improving portfolio performance using clustering-based segmentation and Sharpe ratio-based optimization, tested with historical data from various asset classes.
- [The bias of IID resampled backtests for rolling window mean-variance portfolios](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/arxiv/2505.06383/): A study finds that resampling techniques in backtests can cause bias in Sharpe Ratio estimates, suggesting a need for structure-preserving resampling methods.
