---
title: Tax Reserves Volatility and Firm Risk
url: https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4850560/
site: ML-Quant (https://www.ml-quant.com)
updated: 2026-09-26
license: Summaries CC BY 4.0; links go to the original sources
index: https://www.ml-quant.com/llms.txt
identifier: SSRN 4850560
source_url: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4850560
featured: 2024-06-05
citations: unknown
topic: Derivatives & Volatility
---


# Tax Reserves Volatility and Firm Risk

The article studies how the volatility of unrecognized tax benefits can indicate changes in tax-related risk, including audit, compliance, and credit risks.

- Source: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=4850560
- Identifier: SSRN 4850560
- Released: 2024-05-24
- First featured: Quant Letter No. 52 (2024-06-05): https://www.ml-quant.com/issues/2024-06-05/
- Citations (Semantic Scholar): not tracked
- Published in: not yet
- Topic: Derivatives & Volatility

## Related

- [APC Framework for Profit Modeling](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/repec/gam-jmathe-v-12-y-2024-i-10-p-1427-d-1389720/): Age–period–cohort models can enhance credit risk modeling across a company, improving underwriting and enabling profit and volatility predictions at the account level.
- [Corporate Hedging Impact on Default Probability in Chinese Firms](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4807936/): Research on 501 Chinese firms listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange reveals that hedging, particularly with interest rate derivatives, significantly reduces a firm's default risk, with state-owned enterprises less likely to default.
- [Contagious Uncertainty: Credit VIX Effects](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4773515/): Credit VIX Effects: The study indicates that uncertainty in corporate credit risk, particularly for US investment-grade firms, significantly influences volatility in major asset classes and markets.
- [Risk Shocks and Business Cycles: Evidence from Credit Options](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4721719/): Options on the CDX index can predict short-term economic downturns by indicating changes in credit risk premia and shifts in credit market conditions.
- [Credit Rating Agencies & Options Market](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4701505/): A study reveals that credit rating agencies' predictive abilities improve with increased options trading volume, leading to more accurate credit risk assessments.
- [Equity and Credit Index Options: Risk & Return Analysis](https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/4618313/): Risk & Return Analysis: A new credit risk model accurately prices equity and credit index options, contradicting previous claims of inconsistent pricing, and highlights the need to balance three systematic risk sources.