---
title: Election Arbitrage
url: https://www.ml-quant.com/papers/ssrn/5086104/
site: ML-Quant (https://www.ml-quant.com)
updated: 2026-09-26
license: Summaries CC BY 4.0; links go to the original sources
index: https://www.ml-quant.com/llms.txt
identifier: SSRN 5086104
source_url: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5086104
featured: 2025-01-08
citations: unknown
topic: Trading, Microstructure & Execution
---


# Election Arbitrage

The study shows that prediction markets can help understand the relationship between financial markets and political candidates, with systematic portfolios outperforming the benchmark during election cycles.

- Source: https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5086104
- Identifier: SSRN 5086104
- Released: 2025-01-07
- First featured: Quant Letter No. 81 (2025-01-08): https://www.ml-quant.com/issues/2025-01-08/
- Citations (Semantic Scholar): not tracked
- Published in: not yet
- Topic: Trading, Microstructure & Execution

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