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SSRNMacro-Finance & Rates

Expectations and the Term Structure of Interest Rates

Decomposing yield sensitivity without assuming rational expectations reveals that expectations rather than risk premia drive short- and medium-term bond yields, with systematic inconsistencies across horizons.

Featured in No. 132 on 25 Sep 2026 · 4 days after release

Released
21 Sep 2026
First featured
No. 132 · 25 Sep 2026
Published in
Not yet, as far as Semantic Scholar knows
Fanfare
3 of 5
Identifier
SSRN 7497046
Authors
Pooya Molavi et al.

Citations and venue from Semantic Scholar (ODC-BY), refreshed weekly. Summary: Quant Letter (CC BY 4.0).

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